roximately 12.9 million people (4.7 million women, 7.1 million men, and 1.1 million children) have been infected with HIV; about one-fifth of these (2.7 million) have developed AIDS and of these, over 90 percent have died (Mann, Tarantola & Netter, 1992). By the year 2000, it is conservatively estimated that a minimum of 38 million adults will have become HIV infected.
The foregoing figures have led Mann, Tarantola and Netter (1992) to conclude that HIV/AIDS is a volatile, dynamic and unstable pandemic with the following basic features:
(1) No community or country in the world already infected by AIDS can claim that HIV has stopped.
(2) HIV is spreading rapidly to new communities and to new, previously untouched countries (e.g. Paraguay, Greenland, Fiji, etc.). It will, in time, reach all human communities.
(3) As the epidemic matures, it grows more complex which is to say that it becomes more and more composed of smaller epidemics.
Perez, Torres, Martinez, Joanes, Capo, Rodriguez, Terry
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